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Tuesday, May 10, 2016

“The Less You Believe, the More You Know”: The Inverse Relationship Between Religiosity and Education, Personal Freedom and Tolerance


I. Thesis and Methodology
This project compared and contrasted the relative religiosity of nations such as Canada and the nations of Northern and Western Europe against each nation’s rankings in terms of education and personal freedom as well as issues such as homosexuality [as gauged by acceptance and legalization of same-sex marriage]. The thesis of the project is that the least religious nations in the developed first world will be not only the best educated and the freest but also the most accepting of things such as same-sex marriage.

II. Religiosity           
The first set of data for this project were a pair of polling results from Gallup: a poll of 145 countries from February 9, 2009[1] by University of New York—Buffalo Professor of Psychology Brett Pelham [Ph.D., Social Psychology, University of Texas—Austin] and another of 131 countries from August 31, 2010[2] by Gallup Editor Steve Crabtree [Ph.D., George Mason University]. Both polls asked 1,000 individuals in each country the question “Is religion an important part of you daily life?”
In Pelham’s February 2009 poll, 78% of 1,000 adults polled in the Northern European Republic of Estonia identified religion as “Unimportant”, the third highest of the 145 countries polled. In Crabtree’s August 2010 poll, the number of people in Estonia who identified religion as “Unimportant” had increased to 84%, the highest of the 131 countries polled. In February 2009, the highest of the 145 nations polled was the 83% of those polled in the Scandinavian Kingdom of Sweden who identified religion as “Unimportant”. However, by August 2010, the number of people in Sweden who identified religion as “Unimportant” had dropped a percentage point to 82%, dropping Sweden to the second highest spot out of the 145 countries polled. In February 2009, the number two spot was occupied by the 80.5% of people in the Nordic Kingdom of Denmark that identified religion as “Unimportant”. By August 2010, that number had decreased half a percentage, which was enough to drop Denmark to the third position.
According to “Statistics Estonia” by the Estonia Ministry of Finance in April 2013, only a quarter of the population of Estonia were affiliated with a religion.[3] According to an October 2010 report from Carlos Moedas, European Commissioner for Research, Innovation and Science for the Directorate-General for Research and Innovation for the European Commission of the European Union, only 18% of the people of Estonia and Sweden said they “believe there is a god[4]. In Denmark, that number was 28%.
In “The Cambridge Companion to Atheism” by Boston University Professor of Philosophy Michael Martin [Ph.D., Harvard University], published by Cambridge University on October 30, 2006, Pitzer College Professor of Sociology Philip Zuckerman [Ph.D., Sociology, University of Oregon] placed the rate of atheism in Sweden at 85%.[5]

III. Tolerance
The second set of data for this project was a ranking of 70 countries by their rate of approval for same-sex marriage, based upon polls from a wide variety of sources.
According to an October 2015 study by Vera Jourova, the Commissioner for Justice, Consumers and Gender Equality for the Directorate–General for Justice and Consumers for the European Commission of the European Union, 90% of the people of Sweden agree with the statement  Same Sex Marriage Should Be Allowed Throughout Europe[6] [the second highest of 70 countries]. That’s up from 71% in Sweden in the same study conducted in Autumn 2006, and 81% from Ipsos in May 2013.[7] In a poll the year before in December 2012, published in January 2013, YouGov, based in the United Kingdom of Great Britain, found that number was 79% in both Sweden and Denmark.[8]
The 73% of the 1,000 people in the United Kingdom of Great Britain in Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll that identified religion as being “Unimportant” placed it 8th out of the 145 nations polled.[9] That number remained unchanged in Crabtree’s August 2010 Gallup poll, but bumped the UK up to 6th out of 131 countries polled[10]. According to the European Science Foundation’s European Social Survey in 2008, 52.64% of those surveyed in the UK did not belong to a religion.[11] That was up from 49.24% from the same survey in 2004. In the 2010 European Commission study, only 33.7% of people in the UK said that the “believe in a god”.[12] By a 2011 YouGov poll, that number had dropped three percentage points to 34%.[13] The 87% of people in Denmark that agreed with this statement in the 2015 European Commission study placed it in the third position.[14]  
The Parliament of Sweden legalized same sex marriage on April 1, 2009, the 7th nation in the world to do so, with a law that came into effect a month later on May 1, 2009.[15]

IV. Education
According to the 2015 Prosperity Index published by the London-based Legatum Institute, Denmark is ranked as the third best nation out of 142 in terms of Education.[16] According to the 2008 Human Development Index, published by the United Nations Development Program, Denmark was tied for first with Finland, Australia and New Zealand on its Education Index, calculated from mean years of schooling and expected years of schooling.[17] The Central Intelligence Agency’s World Fact Book placed Literacy for both men and women in Denmark at 99% in 2003.[18]
In Professor Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll, the 70% of the 1,000 people polled in Finland who identified religion as “Unimportant” placed it ninth out of the 145 nations polled.[19]  In the 2010 European Commission study, only 33% of people in Finland said that they “believe there is a god[20]; down from 41% in the same study in 2005. In Michael Martin’s “Cambridge Companion”, Zuckerman places the rate of atheism in Finland at 60%.[21]
In addition to being tied for first with Denmark, Australia and New Zealand on the UN Development Program’s Education Index in 2008[22], Finland is also ranked 7th out of 142 countries in terms of Education on the Legatum Institute’s Prosperity index in 2015.
The number one position on Legatum’s Education rankings belongs to Australia.[23] Like in Denmark, the CIA World Fact Book puts the literacy rate in Australia at 99%.[24] The other nation that was tied for first with Australia in the 2008 UN Education Index was New Zealand.[25] The Legatum Institute ranked New Zealand 6th in terms of Education on their 2015 Prosperity Index.[26] In 2009, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s Program for International Student Assessment ranked New Zealand 7th in reading and science.[27]

V. Personal Freedom
Along with Education, among the categories that the Legatum Prosperity Index ranks its 142 countries on is Personal Freedom. On this list; New Zealand takes second in the world.[28] Canada’s Fraser Institute ranked New Zealand as the number one freest nation on their Worldwide Index of Human Freedom in 2012.[29]
Canada itself beat out New Zealand for the number one spot in terms of Personal Freedom on the Legatum Prosperity Index in 2015. On the same Index, when it comes to education, Canada takes second place to Australia out of the 142 countries.[30] The CIA’s World Fact Book places the literacy rate of Canada at 99%.[31]
Sweden’s own Scandinavian neighbor to the North is the Kingdom of Norway. On Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll, the 78% of the 1,000 people polled in Norway placed it at number four behind Estonia.[32] In the 2010 European Commission Study, only 22% of people in Norway said that they “believe there is a god”.[33] In Michael Martin’s “Cambridge Companion” in 2006, Zuckerman places the rate of atheism in Norway at 72%.[34] 
The 78% of people in Norway that were in favor of same-sex marriage in an Ipsos poll in June 2013 placed it 7th in the world.[35] Earlier that same year, the January 2013 YouGov poll found that number at only 70%.[36] Norway became the sixth nation in the world to legalize same-sex marriage, with a law that came into effect on January 1, 2009.[37]
In terms of Education, the Legatum Institute ranks Norway 5th in the world on its 2015 Prosperity Index.[38] The Central Intelligence Agency puts Norway’s Literacy Rate at a startling 100%.[39] The Legatum Prosperity Index also ranks Norway 3rd out of its 142 countries in Personal Freedom behind New Zealand.
In between Denmark and Norway on Legatum’s Index in terms of Education is the Netherlands.[40] In 2008, the OECD ranked the Netherlands 9th best in the world in Education.[41]

VI. Legalization
The 2015 European Commission study found 91% of respondents in the Netherlands in favor of same-sex marriage[42], the highest out of any country. This is up from 85% in a May 2013 study by the French Institute of Public Opinion.[43] Unsurprisingly, the Netherlands became the first-ever nation to officially legalize same-sex marriage, with a law signed by Queen Beatrix Armgard on December 21, 2000[44] that went into effect on April 1, 2001.[45]
The Senate of Canada followed behind, legalizing same-sex marriage on July 18, 2005, the fourth nation to do so.
In 4th place below Canada, New Zealand and Norway on the Legatum Institute’s Prosperity Index of Personal Freedom is the tiny Grand Duchy of Luxembourg[46], with an area of less than a thousand square miles.
The 75% of people in Luxembourg in the 2015 European Commission study in favor of same-sex marriage places it in 9th place.[47]
To the South and West of Luxembourg is France. The 69% of the 1,000 people in France who identified religion as being “Unimportant” in Crabtree’s August 2010 Gallup poll put it in 8th place out of the 131 nations polled.[48] In the 2010 European Commission study, only 27% of people in France said that they “believe in a god”.[49]


VII. Inverse Relationships
Because this project was examining any relationship, positive or negative, between a nation’s religiosity and education, freedom and tolerance, the next data set examined was the data from the same two Gallup polls on the opposite end: the most religious nations.
The 98.5% of the 1,000 people in the Central African Democratic Republic of the Congo in Professor Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll who identified religion as being “Very Important” places that country as the 4th most-religious country out of the 145 countries polled.[50]
The Legatum Institute ranked the Democratic Republic of the Congo 133rd out of 142 countries in terms of Education on its Prosperity Index in 2015.[51]
The 98% of people polled in the Islamic Republic of Mauritania in Northwest Africa who identified religion as being “Very Important” in Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll placed the country as the 10th most religious nation in the world.[52] In Crabtree’s August 2010 Gallup poll, that number had remained unchanged, but Mauritania had been bumped up one spot to 9th place.[53]
The Legatum Institute ranked Mauritania 134th out of 142 countries in terms of Personal Freedom on its Prosperity Index in 2015.
Just above the Democratic Republic of the Congo on the Legatum Institute’s rankings on Education at 134th out of 142 countries is the Central Asian Islamic Republic of Afghanistan.[54] In May 2006, the United States Library of Congress Federal Research Division reported illiteracy rates in Afghanistan of 57% for men and 86% for women.[55]
Afghanistan also ranks 133rd out of 142 countries on the 2015 Legatum Prosperity Index in terms of Personal Freedom.[56]

VIII. Conclusions
            In 72% of the nations studied for this project, the nation’s ranking on Crabtree’s and Pelham’s February 2009 and August 2010 Gallup polls of religiosity were inversely proportional to its Education ranking on the 2015 Legatum Institute Prosperity Index.
            In 88% of the nations studied for this project, the nation’s rankings on Crabtree’s and Pelham’s Gallup polls on religiosity were inversely proportional to its Personal Freedom ranking on the Legatum Prosperity Index.
Denmark’s ranking of third least religious in the 2010 Gallup poll[57], for example, was directly proportional to not only its ranking of third on the Legatum Institute’s 2015 Prosperity Index in Education[58] but also its ranking of third most-accepting of same-sex marriage in the 2015 European Commission study.[59]
            Norway’s ranking of fourth least-religious country in Professor Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll[60] corresponded to its ranking of 5th in Education and 3rd in Personal Freedom on the 2015 Legatum Prosperity Index.[61]
            Sweden’s ranking as the second least religious nation in Crabtree’s August 2010 Gallup poll[62] was directly proportional to its ranking as the second most-accepting nation of same-sex marriage in the 2015 European Commission study.[63]  Luxembourg’s ranking as the tenth least-religious country in Crabtree’s August 2010 Gallup poll[64] corresponded to its ranking of ninth most-accepting of same-sex marriage in the 2015 European Commission study.[65]
            Mauritania’s ranking of ninth most-religious in Crabtree’s August 2010 Gallup poll[66] corresponds to its ranking of eighth to last in Personal Freedom on the 2015 Legatum Institute Prosperity Index.[67]
            In a couple of cases, the relationships that were found were direct rather than inverse, but had nothing to do with the nation’s ranking on religiosity.
            As cited above, for example, the Netherlands’ rank as the most-accepting nation of same-sex marriage in the 2015 European Commission study[68] corresponds to it having been the first nation to legalize same-sex marriage in 2001.[69] Sweden’s ranking of seventh in Personal Freedom on the 2015 Legatum Institute Prosperity Index[70] corresponded to it being the seventh nation to legalize same-sex marriage in 2009.[71]
            Denmark’s ranking of third in Education on the 2015 Legatum Prosperity Index[72] corresponded to its ranking of third in acceptance of same-sex marriage in the 2015 European Commission study.[73]
            Canada’s ranking of first in Personal Freedom on the 2015 Legatum Institute Prosperity Index corresponded to it ranking of second in Education.
            Norway was found to be in the unique position of being ranked third in Education on the Legatum Prosperity Index[74], fourth least-religious in Professor Pelham’s February 2009 Gallup poll[75], fifth in Education on the 2015 Legatum Prosperity Index[76], being the sixth nation to legalize same-sex marriage in 2009[77] and seventh most-accepting of same sex marriage in the 2013 Ipsos poll.[78]
            In summary, the thesis of this project was that the least-religious nations would be found to be the best educated, freest and most accepting of same-sex marriage. The above data indicates that the project’s thesis has been confirmed.
2,362 Words


[1] Crabtree, Steve and Pelham, Brett. “What Alabamians and Iranians Have in Common”. Gallup. February 9, 2009
[2] Crabtree, Steve. “Religiosity Highest in World’s Poorest Nations”, Gallup, August 31, 2010
[3] Beltadze, Diana. “Over a Quarter of the Population Are Affiliated with a Particular Religion”. Population and Housing Census. April 29, 2013
[4] Moedas, Carlos. “Special Eurobarometer: Biotechnology”. Directorate-General for Research, Innovation and Science. October 2010
[5] Zuckerman, Philip. “Atheism: Contemporary Numbers and Practices”. In Martin, Michael. “The Cambridge Companion to Atheism”. Cambridge University. October 30, 2006. Pages 47-50
[6] Jourova, Vera and Michou, Paraskevi. “Special Eurobarometer: Discrimination in the EU in 2015”. Directorate-General for Justice, Consumers and Gender Equality. October 2015
[7] Deeney, Chris. Et al. “Same-Sex Marriage”. Ipsos. June 2013
[8] Macleod, Harris. “French Opposed to Gay Adoption”. YouGov. January 11, 2013
[9] Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[10] Crabtree, 2010
[11] European Research Infrastructure Consortium. “ESS Cumulative Data Wizard”. European Science Foundation. 2010
[12] Moedas, 2010
[13] YouGov-Cambridge Survey Results”. YouGov-Cambridge. May 20, 2011
[14] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[15] Sweden Allows Same Sex Marriage: Sweden Will Allow Gay Couples to be Legally Married from Next Month”. BBC News. Thursday April 2, 2009
[16] Hansen, Sian. “2015 Legatum Prosperity Index”, Legatum Institute. November 2015
[17] Human Development Reports”. United Nations Development Program. December 18, 2008
[18]The World Fact Book”. Central Intelligence Agency. 2003
[19]Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[20] Moedas, 2010
[21] Zuckerman, 2006
[22] United Nations, 2008
[23] Hansen, 2015
[24] Central Intelligence Agency, 2003
[25] United Nations, 2008
[26] Hansen, 2015
[27] Program for International Student Assessment”. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. 2009
[28] Hansen, 2015
[29] New Zealand Ranked Number 1 in New Comprehensive Index of Human Freedom; U.S. and Denmark Tied for Seventh”. Fraser Institute. January 8, 2013
[30] Hansen, 2015
[31] Central Intelligence Agency, 2003
[32] Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[33] Moedas, 2010
[34] Zuckerman, 2006
[35] Deeney, 2013
[36] Macleod, 2013
[37] Associated Press. “Norway Passes Law Approving Gay Marriage”. Los Angeles Times. June 17, 2008
[38] Hansen, 2015
[39] Central Intelligence Agency, 2003
[40] Hansen, 2015
[41] Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2009
[42] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[43] Rightward shift of European Public Opinion”, Opinion and Business Strategies Department, French Institute of Public Opinion. June 6, 2013
[44] Dutch Legislators Approve Full Marriage Rights for Gays”. New York Times. September 13, 2000
[45] Same-Sex Dutch Couples Gain Marriage and Adoption Rights”. New York Times. December 20, 2000
[46] Hansen, 2015
[47] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[48] Crabtree, 2010
[49] Moedas, 2010
[50] Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[51] Hansen, 2015
[52] Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[53] Crabtree, 2010
[54] Hansen, 2015
[55] Berry, Laverne. “Modern Education” (Handloff, Robert; Editor). Library of Congress Federal Research Division. May 2006
[56] Hansen, 2015
[57] Crabtree, 2010
[58] Hansen, 2015
[59] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[60] Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[61] Hansen, 2015
[62] Crabtree, 2010
[63] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[64] Crabtree, 2010
[65] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[66] Crabtree, 2010
[67] Hansen, 2015
[68] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[69] New York Times, 2000
[70] Hansen, 2015
[71] BBC, 2009
[72] Hansen, 2015
[73] Jourova and Michou, 2015
[74] Hansen, 2015
[75] Crabtree and Pelham, 2009
[76] Hansen, 2015
[77] Associated Press, 2008
[78] Deeney, 2013 


Resource Bibliography

1.     Associated Press. “Norway Passes Law Approving Gay Marriage”. Los Angeles Times. June 17, 2008: http://www.latimes.com/local/la-on-norwaymarriage18-2008jun18-story.html
2.     Beltadze, Diana. “Over a Quarter of the Population Are Affiliated with a Particular Religion”. Population and Housing Census. April 29, 2013: http://www.stat.ee/65352?parent_id=39113
3.     Berry, Laverne. “Modern Education” (Handloff, Robert; Editor). Library of Congress Federal Research Division. May 2006: https://www.loc.gov/collections/country-studies/about-this-collection/
4.     Crabtree, Steve. “Religiosity Highest in World’s Poorest Nations”, Gallup, August 31, 2010: http://www.gallup.com/poll/142727/religiosity-highest-world-poorest-nations.aspx
5.     Crabtree, Steve and Pelham, Brett. “What Alabamians and Iranians Have in Common”. Gallup. February 9, 2009: http://www.gallup.com/poll/114211/Alabamians-Iranians-Common.aspx
6.     Deeney, Chris. Et al. “Same-Sex Marriage”. Ipsos. June 2013: http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12795
7.     Detailed Tables”. Ipsos. June 18, 2013: http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12794
8.     Dutch Legislators Approve Full Marriage Rights for Gays”. New York Times. September 13, 2000: http://www.nytimes.com/2000/09/13/world/dutch-legislators-approve-full-marriage-rights-for-gays.html?scp=2&sq=Norway+Gay+Marriages&st=nyt
9.     European Research Infrastructure Consortium. “ESS Cumulative Data Wizard”. European Science Foundation. 2010: http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/downloadwizard
10.  Hansen, Sian. “2015 Legatum Prosperity Index”, Legatum Institute. November 2015: http://media.prosperity.com/2015/pdf/publications/PI2015Brochure_WEB.pdf
11.  Human Development Reports”. United Nations Development Program. December 18, 2008: http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/HDI_2008_EN_Tables.pdf
12.  Jourova, Vera and Michou, Paraskevi. “Special Eurobarometer: Discrimination in the EU in 2015”. Directorate-General for Justice, Consumers and Gender Equality. October 2015: http://www.equineteurope.org/IMG/pdf/ebs_437_en.pdf
13.  Largest Atheist/Agnostic Populations: Top 20 Countries With Largest Numbers of Atheists/Agnostics”, March 27, 2005: http://www.adherents.com/largecom/com_atheist.html
14.  Macleod, Harris. “French Opposed to Gay Adoption”. YouGov. January 11, 2013: https://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/01/11/french-opposed-gay-adoption/
15.  Moedas, Carlos. “Special Eurobarometer: Biotechnology”. Directorate-General for Research, Innovation and Science. October 2010: http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_341_en.pdf
16.  New Zealand Ranked Number 1 in New Comprehensive Index of Human Freedom; U.S. and Denmark Tied for Seventh”. Fraser Institute. January 8, 2013: http://www.freetheworld.com/2012/freedomIndex/010813_Human_Freedom_INTL.pdf
17.  Program for International Student Assessment”. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. 2009: http://www.oecd.org/newsroom/39700724.pdf
18.  Rightward shift of European Public Opinion”, Opinion and Business Strategies Department, French Institute of Public Opinion. June 6, 2013: http://www.ifop.com/media/poll/2255-1-study_file.pdf
19.  Same-Sex Dutch Couples Gain Marriage and Adoption Rights”. New York Times. December 20, 2000: http://www.nytimes.com/2000/12/20/world/same-sex-dutch-couples-gain-marriage-and-adoption-rights.html
20.  Steinfels, Peter. “Scandinavian Nonbelievers, Which Is Not To Say Atheists”. New York Times. February 27, 2009: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/28/us/28beliefs.html?_r=0
21.  Sweden Allows Same Sex Marriage: Sweden Will Allow Gay Couples to be Legally Married from Next Month”. BBC News. Thursday April 2, 2009: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7978495.stm
22.  The World Fact Book”. Central Intelligence Agency. 2003: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/da.html#People
23.  YouGov-Cambridge Survey Results”. YouGov-Cambridge. May 20, 2011: http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/2l6avzlerp/Religion.pdf  
25.  Zuckerman, Philip. “Atheism: Contemporary Numbers and Practices”. In Martin, Michael. “The Cambridge Companion to Atheism”. Cambridge University. October 30, 2006. Pages 47-50: https://books.google.com/books?id=tAeFipOVx4MC&pg=PA47&dq=%22cambridge+companion+to+atheism%22&psp=1&sig=xERpBqAy_zS2ZXsRyR0TaJOvDSk#v=onepage&q=%22cambridge%20companion%20to%20atheism%22&f=false